Well, it all comes down the last match day in La Liga, where the league crown will be determined by the outcome of this match. Atletico Madrid has a three-point lead over Barcelona, but Barca is the betting favorite and has the upper hand to win the league title.
If Barca wins they will win the league based on goal differential, so for Atletico to win the have to play to a draw or win, which is a tall task playing at Camp Nou.
Midweek Barcelona is the La Liga betting favorite with odds posted at -120 with Atletico Madrid at +333 and a draw line of +275 at Bet365.
While Barca claimed the Super Cup they still might have some revenge on their mind, as Atletico jettisoned them from the Champions League.
These two teams had played to four draws this season in two Super Cup Matches, one league match, and the first Champions League match before Atletico broke through and beat Barca 1-0 in the last CL encounter.
Atletico has to be kicking themselves, as they could have wrapped up the league title with a win in their last match, but they were shocked at home playing to a 1-1 draw against Malaga.
Since downing Barca in the CL quarterfinals the Atletico defense has been in form only conceding two goals in their last seven matches. Barca is just behind Real Madrid for the most goals scored in the league, but their offense was stymied in their last match playing to a 0-0 against Elche.
Barca has played their game this season winning the time of possession battle against Atletico in each match, but the Madrid defense has been superb in keeping the Barcelona offense in check.
Lionel Messi, Pedro, and Alexis Sánchez are the three scoring leaders for Barcelona on the season, but Atletico may be more worried about up and coming star Neymar, who may be match fit for this encounter. The young Brazilian striker is the only Barca player that has scored against Atletico Madrid this season. He and DF Gerard Pique may be back for this crucial match after both have missed time recently due to injuries.
Diego Costa leads Atletico Madrid in goals scored this season and he sat out the Malaga draw with a hamstring injury. However, he will go in this match even though he jeopardizes getting injured again, which will really hurt Atletico’s chances in the Champions League final facing archrival Real Madrid.
If the Barca defense, which has allowed the second fewest goals in the league behind Atletico, can bottle up Costa and David Villa (13 goals) they have a great shot in this home match.
Atletico needs to play like they did in the other four matches facing Barca on the season where there was a grand total of five goals has been scored. Atletico needs to rely on their defense, as if this match is a high scoring one it plays into Barca’s hand.