Italy vs Uruguay Betting Pick
Italy and Uruguay face each other in a winner-take-all match where the victor will advance to the round of 16. Italy is the slight betting underdog in the match, but they have the edge, as even if it ends in a draw they will advance to the knockout phase since they have a better goal differential.
Uruguay and Italy met in the 2013 Confederations Cup in the third place playoff match with the Italians winning on penalties 3-2 after a 2-2 draw after regulation time.
Bovada has Uruguay posted at 175 with Italy at +180 and a draw line at +230.
Both of these squads have lost to Costa Rica in group play, but while Uruguay won their last match Italy did not.
In Uruguay’s last group match leading striker Luis Suarez returned after missing the first one and scored a goal in the 2-1 win over England. He and Edison Cavani are the two players that Uruguay is pinning their hopes on and this striker duo must play well for their squad to stay alive.
Andrea Pirlo and Daniele de Rossi lead the Italy midfield, which is superior to Uruguay’s and they need to create scoring chances, possess the ball in the midfield, and drop back on defense to thwart the solid Uruguay attack.
Mario Balotelli is the lead striker for Italy and while he had his chances in the 1-0 loss to Costa Rica he had a few good scoring chances. The Uruguay defense must mark him at all times and not give him space around the box.
DF Giorgio Chiellini and GK Gianluigi Buffon are the anchors of the solid Italy defense, but they will get help in this match. With a draw propelling the Azzuri to the round of 16 Italy may play a more defensive match and pack that area of the pitch.
Uruguay may have the better attack, but the Italians have a more balanced squad. This match will not be a scoreless draw, but it will end in a draw nonetheless and Italy will advance to the knockout stage.