For our English Premier League matchweek 24 best bets, I'm going to focus on some profitable home squads. Here are three home team moneyline and totals picks for matchweek 24.
English Premier League Best Bets For Matchweek 24
Liverpool vs Burnley
The Game: Liverpool vs Burnley, Saturday, Feb. 10, 10 AM ET
| Team | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | -575 | O3.5 (-120) |
| Burnley | +1300 | U3.5 (-105) |
| Draw | +750 |
Pick: OVER 3.5 (-120)
Liverpool have been incredible offensively of late. In their last four games, they've scored four goals three times. They had a letdown against Arsenal, scoring only once. Bur Burnley isn't Arsenal. Vincent Kompany’s men have allowed three goals against in their last two away games.
Liverpool could cover the OVER all on their own here. But I wouldn't count on a clean sheet for the Red. They've only kept one twice in their last league games.
Wolves vs Brentford
The Game: Wolves vs Brentford, Saturday, Feb. 10, 10 AM ET
| Team | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Wolves | +115 | O2.5 (-140) |
| Brentford | +235 | U2.5 (+115) |
| Draw | +265 |
Pick: Wolves ML (+115)
I love how the Wolves have played lately. At home, they've only lost three times in the year. That was against ManUnited in matchweek 22, Liverpool in matchweek 5 and then Brighton in matchweek 2. Their full home record is 5-3-3. The 10th-best overall record for points and points-per-match.
Meanwhile, Brentford is awful on the road. The Bees have the joint second-worst away record at 2-1-7. Only Sheffield is worse. Brentford haven't won an away game since matchweek 10 when they visited Stamford Bridge and picked up a 2-0 win.
Aston Villa vs Manchester United
The Game: Aston Villa vs Manchester United, Sunday, Feb 11, 11:30 AM ET
| Team | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | +120 | O3.5 (+135) |
| Manchester United | +210 | U3.5 (-170) |
| Draw | +285 |
Pick: O3.5 (+135)
In 11 home games this season, Villa has seen the total go OVER 3.5 goals eight times. heck, just look at their last five in any situation and total has gone OVER 3.5 four times. Goals are scored when Villa plays, specifically at home.
United has found their scoring touch of late with 13 goals in their last five games.
I'm surprised OVER 3.5 goals is +135 here. Based on how these two sides are playing I think there's more than a 43% implied odd of goals being scored.
Remember, five goals were scored when these two sides met at Old Trafford in matchweek 19.
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