We've got three more English Premier League expert picks for you this weekend. Contrary to most matchweeks, we don't have a barnburner match on our hands.
I guess Manchester City vs Chelsea is the big game. Though with Chelsea's poor form, it shouldn't be much of a contest.
Newcastle vs Bournemouth
The Game: Newcastle vs Bournemouth, Saturday Feb. 17, 10 AM
| Team | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | -105 | O3.5 (+125) |
| Bournemouth | +255 | U3.5 (-155) |
| Draw | +300 |
Pick: Draw (+300)
This bet is more about who won't be out there vs. who will be. And I'm specifically talking about Newcastle. The Magpies are without their top two scorers Alexander Isak and Callum Wilson. Both Isak and Wilson also own the two highest expected goals and expected assisted goals per 90 on the team.
With Newcastle's poor defense, I don't believe they'll have enough upfront to stay ahead.
Fulham vs Aston Villa
The Game: Fulham vs Aston Villa, Saturday Feb. 17, 10 AM ET
| Team | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Fulham | +195 | O2.5 (-150) |
| Aston Villa | +135 | U2.5 (+120) |
| Draw | +260 |
Pick: Over 2.5 (-150)
I love betting the OVER in Villa games. That's because it hits. A lot. In 24 games, OVER 2.5 has cashed 17 times (71%). That's an insane hit rate!
Fulham is exactly as consistent as Villa but it's not too far off. In their 24 games, OVER 2.5 goals have hit 14 times (58%).
Manchester City vs Chelsea
The Game: Manchester City vs Chelsea, Saturday Feb. 17, 12:30 PM ET
| Team | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| ManCity | -290 | O3.5 (+110) |
| Chelsea | +700 | U3.5 (-140) |
| Draw | +475 |
Pick: OVER 3.5 (+110)
Both of these teams are seeing a lot of goals in their games lately. In Chelsea's last five, an average of 4.2 goals have been scored. For City, that average is 3.4 goals.
The last time these two teams played the game ended in a 4-4 draw. Again, that's a bunch of goals. I don't expect this to end in a draw again, though that's tasty at +475.
City wins, and probably puts the sword to the Blues by burying them with an avalanche of goals.
